Posts Tagged ‘SPY’

SPX February Returns

January 29, 2016 Leave a comment


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SPX January Returns

December 30, 2015 Leave a comment



January 14, 2015 Leave a comment


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S&P 500 Annual % Change

November 27, 2014 Leave a comment

R’s ggplot


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SPX Monthly Model Preview

November 19, 2014 Leave a comment

Still under construction…



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SPX negative in January after a big 2013. What can we expect from February?

February 1, 2014 Leave a comment

It’s 50/50 we’re going to be negative or positive in February from historical data.

Although given we had a double digit returns year the previous year. It bodes well equities will stage a comeback in February.

In fact I dug even deeper and it is very likely (greater than 60%) we’re going to retest SPX January lows in December.


SPX: The Xmas rally? How far can it fall & still manage to close up?

December 12, 2013 Leave a comment

Looks like whether or not we close above 1800 or up 30% for 2013 is all on the Fed from here on out.

If I were a betting man which as a trader I obviously am I would not bet the Fed fumbles the rally.

Considering a potential dip in December and how far we could close down here are the years when SPX was over 20% going into December.

As you can see it is very likely SPX closes green for December based on history with the only years registering a down December being 96, 80, 75 and 55 (flat).

I guess the big risk is a 1980 redux where we dropped 10% during the December month but still managed to close only 3% down.


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