Archive
ES Daiy Plan 09112
Commentary
In Asia, Japan -0.7%. Hong Kong +0.1%. China -0.7%. India +0.5%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.4%. Paris -0.5%. Frankfurt -0.1%.
Futures at 7:00: Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.1%. Crude +0.1% to $96.60. Gold +0.1% to $1732.90.
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
7:30 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
7:45 ICSC Retail Store Sales
8:30 Trade Balance
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
10:00 Consumer Confidence
1:00 PM Results of $32B, 3-Year Note Auction
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
None
Open Type
IR
Trade Scenarios
–RTH PP: 30 (77% prob tag)
– YR: 12.25
– YIB:
– YHI: 38
– YLO: 25.75
– ONH: 32.5
– ONL: 21
– ON Mid: 27
Bull/Bear Line: 27-28
Longs:
Rotational: If 27-28 becomes support looking for 30 (PP), 32.5 (ONH), 34 (R1)
Rotational: If 30 (PP) becomes support looking for 32.5 (ONH), 34 (R1), 38 (YHI)
PP Failure/PP Confirmation:
Shorts:
Rotational: If 30 (PP) becomes resistance looking for 27.5 (PP), 26 (YCL, YLO), 21 (ONL)
Rotational: If 27-28 becomes resistance looking for 26 (YCL,YLO), 22 (S1), 21 (ONL)
PP Failure/PP Confirmation: LL, Close < PP, 60% prob of 25.75 tag
Stats
OIR, Op>PP<S1
| IR,Op>PP<R1 | 267 | |
| IR,Op>PP<R1 & PP hit | 222 | 83.15% |
| IR,Op>PP<R1 & R1 hit | 102 | 38.20% |
RULES
1. 2 strikes at a level & you’re out, once hit twice in row have to take a 10 minute break
2. 3-4 strikes overall all day & you’re out (depending on size of each trade)
3. NO trading other instruments that you’re unfamiliar with
4. 1.5-2 max loss in ES, 3-4 in NQ,
ES Daiy Plan 091012
Commentary
In Asia, Japan flat at 8869. Hong Kong +0.1% to 19827. China +0.3% to 2135. India +0.1% to 17767.
In Europe, at midday, London flat. Paris -0.1%. Frankfurt flat.
Futures at 7:00: Dow -0.1%. S&P -0.2%. Nasdaq -0.15%. Crude flat at $96.42. Gold -0.3% to $1733.50.
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
10:00 Employment Trends Index
3:00 PM Consumer Credit
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
Notable earnings before today’s open: PPHM
Open Type
OR
Trade Scenarios
–RTH PP: 36.25 (75%)
– YR: 6.5
– YIB:
– YHI: 38.75
– YLO: 32.25
– ONH: 38.75
– ONL: 33
– ON Mid: 35.5
Bull/Bear Line: 35-36
Longs:
Rotational: If 35-36 becomes support looking for 38.75, 40 (R1)
Rotational: If becomes support looking for
PP Failure/PP Confirmation: HH, Close above PP 72% Probability of 38.75 (YHI) tagging
Shorts:
Rotational: If 35-36 becomes resistance looking for 32.75 (ONL-YLO), 31-30 (Gap Fill/NVPOC)
Rotational: If becomes resistance looking for
PP Failure/PP Confirmation:
Stats
OIR, Op<PP>S1
| IR,Op<PP>S1 | 256 | |
| IR,Op<PP>S1 & PP Tag | 216 | 84.38% |
| IR,Op<PP>S1 & S1 Tag | 137 | 53.52% |
RULES
1. 2 strikes at a level & you’re out, once hit twice in row have to take a 10 minute break
2. 3-4 strikes overall all day & you’re out (depending on size of each trade)
3. NO trading other instruments that you’re unfamiliar with
4. 1.5-2 max loss in ES, 3-4 in NQ,
ES Daiy Plan 090612
Commentary
In Asia, Japan flat. Hong Kong +0.3%. China +0.7%. India +0.2%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.6%. Paris +1%. Frankfurt +1.3%.
Futures at 7:00: Dow +0.5%. S&P +0.6%. Nasdaq +0.6%. Crude +1.2% to $96.48. Gold +1% to $1711.60.
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
8:15 ADP Jobs Report
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
10:00 Quarterly Services Report
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
Notable earnings before today’s open: HOV, NAV
Notable earnings after today’s close: SWHC, ULTA
Open Type
OR
Trade Scenarios
–RTH PP: 03.5 (If we OIR, 74% prob of PP tag)
– YR: 8.5
– YIB:
– YHI: 08.25
– YLO: 99.75
– ONH: 014
– ONL: 03.25
– ON Mid: 08.75
Bull/Bear Line: 09-10
Longs:
Rotational: If 10 becomes support looking for 14 (ONH), 16.5 (NVPOC), 20+
Rotational: If becomes support looking for
PP Failure/PP Confirmation:
Shorts:
Rotational: If 09 becomes resistance looking for 07 (S1), 03.5 (PP),
Rotational: If becomes resistance looking for
PP Failure/PP Confirmation:
Stats
OIR, Op>R2<R3
| OOR,Op<R2<R3 | 31 | |
| OOR,Op>R2<R3 & R2 Tag | 21 | 67.74% |
| OOR,Op>R2<R3 & R3 Tag | 23 | 74.19% |
Gap
| Gap 10-8 | 42 | |
| Gap 10-8 & Gap Fill | 17 | 40.48% |
| Gap 10-8 & 1/2 Gap Fill | 26 | 61.90% |
RULES
1. 2 strikes at a level & you’re out, once hit twice in row have to take a 10 minute break
2. 3-4 strikes overall all day & you’re out (depending on size of each trade)
3. NO trading other instruments that you’re unfamiliar with
4. 1.5-2 max loss in ES, 3-4 in NQ,
ES Daiy Plan 082912
Commentary
In Asia, Japan +0.4%. Hong Kong -0.1%. China -1%. India -0.8%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.5%. Paris -0.6%. Frankfurt -0.5%.
Futures at 7:00: Dow flat. S&P flat. Nasdaq flat. Crude -0.7% to $95.63. Gold -0.1% to $1667.40.
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 GDP Q2
8:30 Corporate Profits
10:00 Pending Home Sales
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $35B, 5-Year Note Auction
2:00 PM Fed’s Beige Book
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
Notable earnings before today’s open: FRO, HNZ, JASO, JOY, YGE
Notable earnings after today’s close: P, TIVO, WFT
Open Type
IR
Trade Scenarios
–RTH PP: 7.75 (IR, 78% chance of tag)
– YR: 8.75
– YIB: 5
– YHI: 12
– YLO: 3.25
– ONH: 10
– ONL: 5.25
– ON Mid: 7.75
Bull/Bear Line: 10
Longs:
Rotational: If 10 becomes support looking for 12 (YHI/R1), 15-16.5 (R2),
Rotational:
PP Failure:
Shorts:
Rotational: If 10 becomes resistance looking for 7.75 (PP), 05.25 (ONL), 03.25 (S1),
Rotational: If 07.75 becomes resistance looking for
PP Failure: Yest LL, 60% prob of 03.25 tag
Stats
OIR, Op>PP<R1
| IR,Op>PP<R1 | 267 | |
| IR,Op>PP<R1 & PP hit | 222 | 83.15% |
| IR,Op>PP<R1 & R1 hit | 102 | 38.20% |
RULES
1. 2 strikes at a level & you’re out, once hit twice in row have to take a 10 minute break
2. 3-4 strikes overall all day & you’re out (depending on size of each trade)
3. NO trading other instruments that you’re unfamiliar with
4. 1.5-2 max loss in ES, 3-4 in NQ,
ES Daiy Plan 082312
Commentary
In Asia, Japan -1.2%. Hong Kong -1.3%. China -1%. India -0.4%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.2%. Paris -0.2%. Frankfurt -0.3%.
Futures at 7:00: Dow flat. S&P -0.1%. Nasdaq flat. Crude -0.4% to $95.86. Gold -0.3% to $1668.60.
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
8:30 Durable Goods
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
Notable earnings before today’s open: SOL
Open Type
OR
Trade Scenarios
–RTH PP: 10.25
– YR: 10.5
– YIB: 5
– YHI: 08.5
– YLO: 98
– ONH: 02.5
– ONL: 95.25
– ON Mid: 99
Bull/Bear Line: 1402.25 (PP)
Longs:
Rotational: If 02.25 (PP) becomes support looking for 10.25 (PP), 08 (ONL), 04.25 (YLO),
Rotational: If 1400 (ON PP-YHI) becomes support looking for 02.25-02.5 (PP/ONH), 06.25 (R1), 08.5 (YHI)
PP Failure:
Shorts:
Rotational: If becomes resistance looking for
Rotational: If 1400 (ON PP-YHI) becomes resistance looking for 98 (YLO), 96.5 (NVPOC), 95.75-95.25 (S1-ONL), 93 (
PP Failure: Yesterday LL, 98 has about 72% prob of being hit
Stats
OOR,Op<PP>S1
| OOR,Op<PP>S1 | 262 | |
| OOR,Op<PP>S1 & PP Tag | 119 | 45.42% |
| OOR,Op<PP>S1 & S1 Tag | 137 | 52.29% |
RULES
1. 2 strikes at a level & you’re out, once hit twice in row have to take a 10 minute break
2. 3-4 strikes overall all day & you’re out (depending on size of each trade)
3. NO trading other instruments that you’re unfamiliar with
4. 1.5-2 max loss in ES, 3-4 in NQ,
ES Daiy Plan 081612
Commentary
In Asia, Japan +1.9% to 9093. Hong Kong -0.5% to 19963. China -0.3% to 2112. India -0.4% to 17657.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.1%. Paris -0.0%. Frankfurt +0.1%.
Futures at 7:00: Dow +0.1%. S&P +0.15%. Nasdaq +0.1%. Crude flat at $94.29. Gold -0.05% to $1605.80.
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
8:30 Housing Starts
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 E-Commerce Retail Sales
10:00 Philly Fed Business Outlook
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
Notable earnings before today’s open:DANG, DLTR, GME, PRGO, ROST, SHLD, WMT
Notable earnings after today’s close: ARO, AVGO, BRCD, DRYS, GPS, MRVL
Open Type
OIR
Trade Scenarios
– RTH PP: 02.75
– YHI: 05.75
– YLO: 99.25
– ONH: 7.75
– ONL: 03
– ON Mid: 05.5
Bull/Bear Line: 1400
Longs:
Rotational: If 1400 becomes support looking for 02.75 (PP), 05.75 (YHI), 07.75 (ONH), 09.25 (NVPOC)
Rotational: If 02.75 (PP) becomes support looking for 05.75 (YHI), 06.25 (R1), 07.75 (ONH), 09.25 (NVPOC)
PP Failure:
Shorts:
Rotational: If 1400 becomes resistance looking for 96.5 (NVPOC)-96.25 (S2), 93.25 (S3), 92 (range support), 90.25 (Gap)
Rotational: If becomes resistance looking for
PP Failure:
Stats
OIR,Op>PP<R1
| IR,Op>PP<R1 | 267 | |
| IR,Op>PP<R1 & PP hit | 222 | 83.15% |
| IR,Op>PP<R1 & R1 hit | 102 | 38.20% |
RULES
1. 2 strikes at a level & you’re out, once hit twice in row have to take a 10 minute break
2. 3-4 strikes overall all day & you’re out (depending on size of each trade)
3. NO trading other instruments that you’re unfamiliar with
4. 1.5-2 max loss in ES, 3-4 in NQ,
Protected: ES Daiy Plan 052512
Protected: ES Daiy Plan 052412
Protected: ES Daiy Plan 052312
ES Daiy Plan 052212
Commentary
http://www.forexpros.com/indices/germany-30-advanced-chart
Econ Calendar
Today’s economic calendar:
7:45 ICSC Retail Store Sales
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg.
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/
Earnings Watch
Notable earnings before today’s open: AZO, BBY, MDT, RL, WSM
Notable earnings after today’s close: ADI, AVGO, CPWR, DELL, GES, PETM, PSS, QIHU, STV, TTWO
Open Type
OIR (as of 5:53 AM)
Trade Scenarios
– RTH PP: 08.5
– Globex PP: 06.25
Bull/Bear Line: 12-10
– YDH: 16
– YDL: 93.75
– ONH: 20.25
– ONL: 12.25
– ON Mid: 16.25
Longs:
1. Above 12 looking for 16 (YHI) then 20.25 (ONH)
Shorts:
2. Below 10 looking for 08.5 (PP), 05.75 (YVPOC) then 1300
Stats
Open OIR (>16) > 08.5 (PP) but less than 23 (R1)
| OIR, Op > PP but < R1 | 44 | 28.39% |
| OIR, Op > PP but < R1 & R1 tag | 27 | 61.36% |
| OIR, Op > PP but < R1 & PP tag | 31 | 70.45% |
Open OOR (>16) > 08.5 (PP) but less than 23 R1
| OOR & Op > PP but R1 | 56 | |
| OOR & Op > PP but >R1 & R1 tag | 36 | 64.29% |
| OOR & Op > PP but >R1 & PP tag | 29 | 51.79% |
ES (3 minute, daily)
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